Fight Bears #107
Market Meditations | February 26, 2021
? Protect Your Profits.
Dear Meditators
Sometimes, when markets turn bearish, we can no longer see the forest for the trees ?
Don’t make that mistake. Allow us to guide you through bitcoin technical analysis, to help you navigate the current market dynamic ?
And then, while the world watches bitcoin, let’s consider other hot topics and reward opportunities in the cyryptomarkets ✅ There are many out there and we’ll show you them today.
Read, enjoy and share with your network. Let’s all grow richer together.
MARKET BRIEFING
Today, Cardano flipped Polkadot and Binance, to become the 3rd biggest cryptocurrency by Market Cap.
We are extremely grateful for our partner ? Phemex. This collaboration makes our free content production possible ? As well as receiving free bitcoin and discounts for signing up, Phemex provide Crypto Asset Management ? Their savings accounts allow you to earn crypto passive income and as Warren Buffett famously said, ‘you want to find ways to make money while you sleep’.
MARKET MEDITATION
Pay Attention to Bitcoin
There hasn’t been a major dip or correction since the start of the year ? Peaking around $57,500 we’ve now seen our first major retracement with the price dropping ~25%. All our premium members were prepared for this from last Friday’s edition ?
You should also remember that $45,000 was our bias invalidation level. This has held nicely. The most important thing to pay attention to is not the magnitude of the drop but rather the overall market structure ?
BITCOIN / DOLLAR
One Day
$44,000 – $45,000 is a key structural level. The best case scenario is that we see a V shaped reversal from here.
$40,000 is our danger zone, losing this key psychological and structural level indicates a significant loss in momentum and trend strength.
To chart like us, check out our Introduction to Technical Analysis Course ?
Assuming we hold these key levels, I see a few great altcoin opportunities. Naturally, premium members of Market Meditations will be the first to hear about these ? so keep an eye on your inbox for a step by step from me.
From a fundamental viewpoint, it may be legacy markets that are giving bitcoin a good kicking. If you have been following anyone who trades legacy, you’ve probably read about: ‘the recent rise in long-dated U.S. Treasury yields, particularly in 10-year Treasury yields’. Much like lawyers, legacy investors seem determined to use complicated language, to make simple concepts seem difficult and inaccessible to retail investors ?
All this means, is that the legacy markets are starting to price in economic growth and recovery from Covid-19. And of course, when the economy is thriving, the governments stop providing as much support. As a consequence, assets that have benefited from government support have seen a sell off: stocks (particularly tech), bitcoin and gold ?
Now whilst this might lead to short term declines, we can find comfort in blockchain data that shows large traders accumulating bitcoin on the dips and therefore supporting the price, as explained by CryptoQuant:
Now, there is more to the crypto world than just bitcoin. Over to DeFi we go ?
DEFI NEWS & ANALYSIS
Grayscale Opens Doors to 23 New Tokens
It was not long ago that our market was retail dominated. Institutions were known to comment on cryptocurrencies but their skin, always, remained firmly out of the game ? Bit by bit, we saw institutions enter the space through bitcoin. Next came ethereum. And now, we have even seen them open their doors to altcoins and DeFi. Layer open layer of validation for the cryptomarkets ?
Today, Grayscale (which many are referring to as the ‘New Coinbase’) listed 23 tokens and notified the exploration of “new investment products”.
Seven of them are Ethereum-based governance tokens in: AAVE, UNI, COMP, MKR, SUSHI, SNX, and YFI. Grayscale also included Ethereum’s competition in ADA, DOT, EOS, ATOM, and XTZ. Grayscale even included cryptocurrencies with a low market capitalization—ranking below 100 or less than $500 million in total market cap—in RSR, NMR and LPT.
? Why the new coinbase? Well, in the previous bull run, a new listing from coinbase raised hopes around additional retail volume in the token and reduction in regulatory risk. Grayscale’s role is reminiscent. Albeit, the effect is on the institutional level since the product’s offerings are only available to institutions (or ‘accredited investors’ to use finance jargon). And let’s face it, institutions have deep pockets; if they want to pump our bags, they can be our guest ?
Next stop: altcoins ?
ALTCOIN NEWS & ANALYSIS
Exchange Tokens Aren’t Finished
Binance continues to show strength and Coinbase is potentially getting the highest US tech company valuation of all time at IPO. On top of that Kraken has announced it’s looking for a valuation of $10 Billion!
Fundamentally I’m very bullish on the exchange token narrative.
Let’s dive into the technicals ?
FTT / DOLLAR
One Day
Price has retraced in line with Bitcoin, $24-$26 confluent with the 0.5-0.618 levels and support present a high risk high reward area for entry.
Risk will be strongly correlated with exit targets. Conservatively $31 provides an exit opportunity. In current riskier market conditions I’ll be paying close attention to signs of strength on $BTC to extend my target.
PARTNER REVIEW
How to Decrease Transaction Fees with Utrust’s HOLD app
HOLD is a cryptocurrency wallet that allows you to instantly buy, sell and trade digital currencies ? You are also able to convert these digital currencies into fiat (traditional currencies like the USD and EUR), load your HOLD debit card and start spending your funds directly from the wallet.
Why use it? The seamless user interface makes the product genuinely easy to use and the VISA debit card makes it simple to spend your crypto. The fact that this is all done on one app also means you no longer have to incur costly transaction fees required when moving around your crypto.
?Simplify your crypto experience using the HOLD app.?
PODCAST
8 Tips to Achieve Financial Freedom with Koroush AK
PREMIUM MEMBERS: CLICK HERE FOR EARLY ACCESS ?
In this episode, we are going to examine 8 key points that can help you achieve financial freedom. Wealth is not a result of luck but of applying consistent habits that we will break down for you.
Key Takeaways:
Understanding opportunity cost is essential. Spending your money or your time on one thing, forfeits your opportunity to spend it on another. Every time you make a decision, consider its opportunity cost.
Live below your financial means. Make sure your costs are lower than your income so that your net worth is continually increasing ?
Spend more time on your financial planning. Know what percentage of your net worth is currently invested into different assets ?
Prioritise financial freedom and skills, not status. Displays of social status like fancy cars merely display wealth, they do not build wealth. Figure out what actually matters to you and set appropriate goals.
Never receive cash gifts from your parents ? This tricks your brain to stop associating financial reward with the work you have to put in.
Keep a substantial piggy bank. If you don’t have one, this should be one of your first financial goals. Having this safety net protects you from financial shocks and allows you to take advantage of the right opportunities.
Make your money work for you. You can do this via the stock market, lending platforms, yield farming, investing and more. Look for opportunities to make money while you sleep ?.
Have a long term vision ?. Invest with a time horizon ideally over 5 years. Do your research, form conviction and then buy and hold for the long term.
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Disclaimer: The content in this newsletter is for informational purposes only. Nothing in this email is intended to serve as financial advice. We are not financial advisors. Every investment and trading move involves risk. Do your own research when making a decision.